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An Introduction to Prediction Markets

An Introduction to Prediction Markets

Jun 12, 20261 min read

  • Author: Annapurna, Lesswrong (originally Jorge Velez)
  • Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yDmcyTrGPoWyzwBr/an-introduction-to-prediction-markets
    • original
  • Related: Financial Investing
  • Prediction Markets:
    • exchange-traded markets created for the purpose of trading the outcome of events.
    • ie:
      • Sports Betting
      • https:PredictIt.org
      • https:Metaculus.com
      • Augur
        • p2p, open source, running on Ethereum Network
      • Polymarket
  • The author makes the case that while not so useful when used by individuals Prediction Markets could be influential when mainstream and used by important Economic Actors
    • makes the example of the Ever Given Incident

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